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polling

Restore Britain in the Polls: What September 2026's Surveys Show

National polls in the second half of September put Restore Britain anywhere from 1.5% to 7%, depending on the pollster. Each poll, the independent seat-by-seat models, and how they compare with the MRP the party commissioned.

Published Updated 3 min read

How Restore Britain is doing in the polls depends heavily on which pollster you look at. In national surveys by members of the British Polling Council with fieldwork in the second half of September 2026, the party's share ranged from 1.5% to 7%.

National voting intention

Latest fieldwork first. Samples are adults in Great Britain unless marked UK.

  • More in Common, 25–29 September (2,041): Restore Britain 6%. Labour 27, Conservatives 22, Reform UK 21.
  • Survation for Mandate Research, 29 September (1,548, UK): Restore Britain 2.5%.
  • YouGov for The Times and Sky News, 27–28 September (2,310): Restore Britain 3%. Reform UK 25, Labour 24, Conservatives 19.
  • BMG Research for The i Paper, 23–24 September (1,515): Restore Britain 7%, up two points on BMG's previous poll. Labour 28, Reform UK 23, Conservatives 20, Liberal Democrats 8.
  • Survation, 22–23 September (1,224, UK): Restore Britain 1.5%.
  • YouGov for The Times and Sky News, 20–21 September (2,286): Restore Britain 4%, up from 3%. Labour 23, Conservatives 21, Reform UK 21.
  • More in Common, 18–21 September (2,113): Restore Britain 6%. Labour 26, Conservatives 23, Reform UK 22.

An earlier Ipsos poll, with fieldwork on 10–15 September (1,031), put the party on 3%.

Not every pollster reports the party separately. Find Out Now, for example, counts it within "Other" in its headline figures.

BMG also found that 15% of people who voted Reform UK in 2024 now back Restore Britain, up from 10% a month earlier. Robert Struthers of BMG cautioned: "We don't know if Restore can field candidates in every seat or build the organisation to fight a general election, and smaller parties often get squeezed when a race narrows."

The seat-by-seat models

MRP models estimate results constituency by constituency from large national samples. Three independent ones were published in late September; two of them modelled Restore Britain separately:

  • YouGov, published 24 September (fieldwork 23 August–18 September, 16,758 adults): Restore Britain wins no seats. In Great Yarmouth, Rupert Lowe's seat, the model puts Reform UK on 32% and Restore Britain on 23%. YouGov advises "a much greater level of caution" with its estimates for seats that have "high-profile independent or minor party candidates".
  • More in Common, published 26 September (fieldwork 21 August–21 September, 15,765 adults): the first More in Common MRP to name Restore Britain as an option. It puts the party on 3% nationally and projects it winning one seat, Great Yarmouth, with 28.2% to Reform UK's 26.9%, a lead of 1.3 points. More in Common says the model "should not be seen as a projection of the election", and it does not capture local factors.

The third, by Survation for 38 Degrees, did not model Restore Britain separately.

The MRP published on 24 September by Electoral Calculus and Find Out Now put Restore Britain on 7% nationally, against 3% in More in Common's model, and, like More in Common's, projected it holding Great Yarmouth. That poll was commissioned by Restore Britain.

Reading the numbers

Single polls vary widely, so the trend across pollsters matters more than any one figure. PollCheck's moving average of the last seven polls that prompt for the party stood at 4.3% on 3 October, checked on 5 October, and our numbers page charts the polling over time. For what the models say about Lowestoft and South West Norfolk, see Restore Britain in East Anglia.

Sources

Topics
  • polling
  • polls
  • mrp

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